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Earlier this month Lithuania became the latest country to engage in the ongoing competing campaign for friendship and recognition between the People’s Republic of China (PRC) and the Republic of China (Taiwan). (Our eagle-eyed readers would have noticed this story featured in our newsletter<\/a>.)\u00a0 A sign perhaps that the PRC may be losing its influence in the region and certainly the cause of much ire from Beijing.\u00a0\u00a0<\/strong><\/h5>\n

The episode centred around Lithuania\u2019s decision to open an enterprise office in Taipei as a means of countering the PRC\u2019s growing influence in the region. More dramatically the ruling coalition explicitly stated that this was part of an effort to support<\/span> \u2018freedom fighters from Belarus to Taiwan\u2019<\/b><\/a>. This comes at a time when countries across the world have begun to more openly criticise the regime in Beijing, fuelled by accusations of genocide in Xinjiang, undermining democracy in Hong Kong, and a growing awareness of the potential consequences of the economic and political reach of Xi Jinping\u2019s regime.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

It may come as a surprise that a country such as Lithuania should stand up to the might of the PRC, where many larger Western countries have failed, though perhaps seeking closer ties with Taiwan shouldn\u2019t be such a surprise. This is a story that has much deeper roots. Taiwan may have gradually lost widespread diplomatic recognition following the establishment of the PRC; however, this hasn\u2019t stopped it from using diplomatic, cultural and economic engagement to gain friends across the region. This is especially so for those countries wary of communist regimes following years of experience living in the Soviet yolk.<\/span><\/p>\n

Latvia, for example, has maintained quasi-diplomatic relations with Taiwan, hosting the Taipei Economic and Cultural Representative Office in Riga despite Beijing\u2019s protests. Indeed, it was only the latter\u2019s freezing of relations with Latvia in 1994 which persuaded the then government from extending diplomatic recognition to both entities. Taiwan has sought to repay this friendship, most recently intervening with mask diplomacy, delivering <\/span>70,000<\/b><\/a> medical masks to Latvia at the beginning of the pandemic.\u00a0 Even in those countries with no official Taiwanese representation you can see evidence of Taipei\u2019s endeavours to improve relations through economic aid.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Taiwan has close allies in Estonia too, with a pro-Taipei parliamentary group issuing a statement in January calling on Beijing to stop <\/span>\u2018interfering in Taiwan\u2019<\/b><\/a>, citing the \u2018cultural, scientific and economic ties\u2019 between the two countries and rather pointedly describing Taiwan as a \u2018highly developed and progressive society\u2019. Whilst there is a lack of official recognition, the message seems clear that Taiwan would be a preferred partner, a fact some are becoming increasingly brazen in implying.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

The Balkans have also long been a site of the battle for representation between Taiwan and PRC, with Enver Hoxha\u2019s regime in Albania leading the charge to grant China\u2019s UN seat to the PRC in 1971. More recently Albania was offered<\/span> $1 billion in aid<\/b><\/a> from Taiwan to swap recognition in 1999, an offer only refused due to the PRC\u2019s counteroffer of investment as part of the Belt and Road Initiative. North Macedonia and Kosovo too have been the recipients of Taiwanese aid, with the former maintaining diplomatic relations with Taipei from <\/span>1999-2005<\/b><\/a> in an attempt to gain further financial investment. Again, this was rescinded when the temptations of PRC investment became too great.<\/span><\/p>\n

Taiwan has not only been an economic donor to Kosovo but was also the first country in Asia to offer recognition to Pristina. The PRC\u2019s continued refusal to recognise Kosovo, both because of and enhancing its more strategically important relationship with Serbia, has meant Kosovo has remained one of the few areas in Europe <\/span>truly free<\/b><\/a> of Beijing\u2019s influence. This has opened the door to Taiwanese investment, but the temptation of potential economic investment from Beijing in the future has thus far prevented reciprocal recognition.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Whilst some countries such as Serbia seem to have invested fully in \u2018<\/span>Brother Xi\u2019<\/b><\/a>s vision for the region, reaping the rewards of PRC investment in infrastructure and more recently through vaccine diplomacy, many others remain surprisingly underexposed to Beijing\u2019s influence. Romania has recently <\/span>surprised the world<\/b><\/a> by not only forcing Chinese companies out of key sectors but also by refusing to send high-level representation to the 17+1 initiative- Xi Jinping\u2019s project for influence and cooperation in Central and Eastern Europe. Bucharest <\/span>wasn\u2019t alone<\/b><\/a> in skirting the 2021 summit, the Baltic states, Bulgaria and Slovakia also refused to attend. Whilst the Covid crisis may be partially to blame, the government in Bucharest made few attempts to hide their dislike for Beijing\u2019s attempts to impose their model on the region, <\/span>likening their behaviour<\/b><\/a> to that of Moscow under the USSR.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

It must be said that Taiwan\u2019s capacity to influence vis-\u00e0-vis the PRC is severely limited. Latvia and now Lithuania are the only two countries to maintain even quasi-diplomatic relations with Taipei. However, as many governments seek to gradually divest their interests away from the PRC\u2019s political and economic control, could Taiwan be a useful ally in fulfilling the investment shortfall. In return could the region be Taipei\u2019s ticket to a resumption of international recognition.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Featured image: Quasi-diplomacy \/ Teet Ottin<\/h6>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

What do Lithuania and Latvia have in common with Taiwan? Owen Howells dives into the quasi-diplomatic relations between the Baltic states and the Republic of China. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":76,"featured_media":6984,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_oct_exclude_from_cache":false,"_exactmetrics_skip_tracking":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_active":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_note":"","_exactmetrics_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[13,983,4],"tags":[724,1300,971,873,1301],"coauthors":[],"class_list":["post-6956","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-eastern-europe","category-editorial","category-politics","tag-china","tag-diplomacy","tag-editorial","tag-lithuania","tag-taiwan"],"yoast_head":"\nCould relations with Taiwan help Eastern Europe divest from Beijing\u2019s influence?\u00a0\u00a0 - Lossi 36<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Bringing you news, analysis, and photography from Central and Eastern Europe, Russia, the Caucasus, and Central Asia. 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